Was the March 18, 2020, Magna Earthquake in the Forecast?

Mackenzie Cope Geology, Recent earthquakes

Utah Geological Survey has a 50-year forecast for earthquakes. In 2016, the Working Group on Utah Earthquake Probabilities (WGUEP) published a 50-year forecast for moderate to large earthquakes in the Wasatch Front region. They determined there was a 93% chance of having one or more earthquakes of magnitude 5 or larger in that time period. Given that high probability, the …